Long term energy demand projections for croatian transport sector

Pukšec, Tomislav and Vad Mathiesen, Brian and Duić, Neven (2011) Long term energy demand projections for croatian transport sector. = Long term energy demand projections for croatian transport sector. In: 24th International Conference on Efficiency, Cost, Optimization, Simulation and Environmental Impact of Energy Systems, ECOS 2011, 04.-07.07.2011., Novi Sad; Serbia.

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Official URL: http://bib.irb.hr/prikazi-rad?rad=522632


Transport sector in Croatia represents one of the largest consumers of energy today with a share of almost one third of final energy demand. That is why improving energy efficiency and implementing different mechanisms that would lead to energy savings in this sector would be relevant. Through this paper long term energy demand projections for Croatian transport sector will be shown with a special emphasis on different mechanisms, both financial, legal but also technological that will influence future energy demand scenarios. It was important to see how these mechanisms can influence, positive or negative, on future energy demand and which mechanism would be most influential. Energy demand predictions are based upon end-use simulation model developed and tested with Croatia as a case study. Model combines detailed modal structure of Croatian transport sector including road, rail, air and water transport modes with emphasis given to energy efficiency improvements of different vehicles. One of the features that model also includes is the intermodal forms of transport which can be important parameter in energy demand modeling. Additional value of the model lies in its applicableness to other countries and its transport sectors. Based on its importance regarding Croatian energy balance, transport sector represents important part of Croatian energy strategy. One of the major conclusions shown in this paper is significant possibilities for energy efficiency improvements and lower energy demand in the future based on careful and rational energy planning.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Lecture)
Keywords (Croatian): Computer simulation; Energy efficiency; Environmental impact; Models; Different mechanisms; Energy demand models; Energy demand prediction; Energy demand projections; Energy demands; Energy efficiency improvements; Modal structures; Transport sectors; Energy management
Divisions: 500 Department of Energy, Power Engineering and Environment > 510 Power Engineering and Energy Management Chair
Indexed in Web of Science: No
Indexed in Current Contents: No
Citations SCOPUS: 1 (12.09.2017.)
Date Deposited: 09 Apr 2015 08:59
Last Modified: 12 Sep 2017 14:20
URI: http://repozitorij.fsb.hr/id/eprint/3560

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