Advanced System Analysis Using Scenario Approach – the Case Study of Croatia

Cerovac, Tin and Ćosić, Boris and Pukšec, Tomislav and Duić, Neven (2013) Advanced System Analysis Using Scenario Approach – the Case Study of Croatia. = Advanced System Analysis Using Scenario Approach – the Case Study of Croatia. In: 8th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems – SDEWES Conference, 22-27.09.2013, Dubrovnik, Hrvatska.

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Official URL: http://bib.irb.hr/prikazi-rad?&rad=651803

Abstract

Even a few years after the national Energy Strategy has been passed, direction for development of the Croatian energy system remains a booming topic. Croatian energy system is currently highly import-dependent and obligations toward renewable energy sources implementation, as well as limited energy sources available, need to be considered. This paper studies eight scenarios - three proposed by the Strategy, one proposed by the Indicative medium-term development plan of Croatia’s TSO, and four alternative scenarios that propose extensive construction of hydro, wind and solar power plants in Croatia. Calculations have been conducted in the EnergyPLAN model based on modelled long term energy demand predictions, with 2009 as the base year and a scope ranging until the year 2030. Each of the eight proposed scenarios is observed trough three sub-scenarios, describing various hydrological conditions while analyzing production, costs, CO2 emissions and other relevant parameters. The results of this study can be used as a reference for further development of the Croatian energy system.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Lecture)
Keywords (Croatian): EnergyPLAN, Croatia, Import of Electricity, National Energy Strategy, Critical Excess Electricity Production (CEEP)
Subjects: TECHNICAL SCIENCE > Mechanical Engineering
Divisions: 500 Department of Energy, Power Engineering and Environment > 510 Power Engineering and Energy Management Chair
Indexed in Web of Science: No
Indexed in Current Contents: No
Date Deposited: 06 Apr 2016 10:52
Last Modified: 25 Apr 2016 14:28
URI: http://repozitorij.fsb.hr/id/eprint/5465

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